Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puerto Real CF vs Marinaleda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puerto Real CF in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Real CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Puerto Real CF
35%
Draws
28%
Marinaleda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puerto Real CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Puerto Real CF have won more games recently than Marinaleda.
  • Puerto Real CF are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Puerto Real CF Clean Sheet 19%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puerto Real CF Marinaleda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puerto Real CF vs Marinaleda
1:0
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Puerto Real CF
1:1
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puerto Real CF vs Marinaleda
1:0
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Puerto Real CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puerto Real CF 76 / 100
Marinaleda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puerto Real CF Marinaleda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puerto Real CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marinaleda conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Puerto Real CF scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Puerto Real CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marinaleda
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puerto Real CF

(Home)
15 May
Jerez Industrial
1 : 0
Puerto Real CF
08 May
Puerto Real CF
1 : 1
Portuense
01 May
Mairena
0 : 1
Puerto Real CF
24 Apr
Puerto Real CF
0 : 0
Linense
17 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 3
Puerto Real CF
Page 1 of 6

Marinaleda

(Away)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)