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Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Bonilla J.
19'
Campbell J.
40'
Sub
Gray C. In: Owens D.
Out: Gray C.

AI Match Summary

Puerto Rico in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Rico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Puerto Rico
15%
Draws
8%
Cayman Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puerto Rico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Cayman Islands haven't matched Puerto Rico's recent run of results.
  • Puerto Rico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Puerto Rico have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 18%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puerto Rico Cayman Islands
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.24 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands
1:0
Oct 2, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs Puerto Rico
0:3
Mar 26, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands
5:1
Jun 9, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs Puerto Rico
0:3
Oct 7, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puerto Rico Compare

Top Goalscorer De Leon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cayman Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puerto Rico 85 / 100
Cayman Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puerto Rico Cayman Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puerto Rico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Puerto Rico scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Cayman Islands has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Puerto Rico has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puerto Rico VS Cayman Islands
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puerto Rico

(Home)
04 Oct
Puerto Rico
1 : 0
Cayman Islands
02 Oct
Cayman Islands
0 : 3
Puerto Rico
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
24 Sept
Puerto Rico
0 : 1
Guyana
05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
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Cayman Islands

(Away)
04 Oct
Puerto Rico
1 : 0
Cayman Islands
02 Oct
Cayman Islands
0 : 3
Puerto Rico
27 Sept
Guyana
2 : 0
Cayman Islands
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
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