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Pully vs Lugano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Marques M.
13'
Isabella D.
16' Event
Alioski E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pully
15%
Draws
49%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lugano a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Lugano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lugano, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pully Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pully Lugano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 23
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Swiss Cup
Pully vs Lugano
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pully Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kelvin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pully 22 / 100
Lugano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pully Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pully scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lugano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Pully stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pully VS Lugano
1 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pully

(Home)
18 Oct
Pully
0 : 4
Lugano
15 Aug
Genolier-Begnins
0 : 2
Pully
25 May
Terre Sainte
2 : 4
Pully
18 May
Pully
1 : 0
Chenois
11 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 1
Pully
Page 1 of 6

Lugano

(Away)
18 Oct
Pully
0 : 4
Lugano
15 Oct
Lugano
3 : 2
Crvena zvezda
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0
Luzern
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -