Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy

Guadalupe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puntarenas FC play Guadalupe in the Primera Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puntarenas FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Guadalupe averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Puntarenas FC won 2, Guadalupe won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Puntarenas FC and 1.06 for Guadalupe. This points to a Puntarenas FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Puntarenas FC

29%

Draws

29%

Guadalupe

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Puntarenas FC picked up more points recently compared to Guadalupe.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 22%

Guadalupe Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puntarenas FC	Guadalupe
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	7	4
Draws	10	10
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.19	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.29	2.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division

Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Jan 25, 2026 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 6, 2025 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Aug 9, 2025 Primera Division

Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Oct 11, 2024 Copa Costa Rica

Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 42 / 100

Guadalupe 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puntarenas FC Guadalupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puntarenas FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puntarenas FC attacking → ← attacking Guadalupe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puntarenas FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Guadalupe let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Puntarenas FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guadalupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 22

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14