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Pure Swansea vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lund J.
56' Event
Gibbings B.
71' Event
Copp K.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Pure Swansea and Pontardawe finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pure Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pure Swansea
35%
Draws
28%
Pontardawe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pontardawe haven't matched Pure Swansea's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 17%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Pontardawe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Pontardawe
4:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Pontardawe vs Pure Swansea
0:0
Jan 2, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Pontardawe
2:3
Dec 27, 2022 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Pure Swansea
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Copp K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Pontardawe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 84 / 100
Pontardawe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Pontardawe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Pure Swansea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pure Swansea scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Pontardawe
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
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Pontardawe

(Away)
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)