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Pure Swansea vs Treowen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea host Treowen in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Pure Swansea at 1.82 goals for, 1.71 against; Treowen at 1.76 for, 1.83 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.75 - 1.63) back Pure Swansea to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pure Swansea
30%
Draws
23%
Treowen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Treowen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pure Swansea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 14%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Treowen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 84 / 100
Treowen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Treowen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Treowen has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Pure Swansea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Treowen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Treowen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
31 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
4 : 2
Pure Swansea
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
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Treowen

(Away)
30 Oct
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Treowen
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 12 7 3 2 32:21 24
2 Aberystwyth 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Caerau Ely 12 7 1 4 23:20 22
4 Pure Swansea 10 6 3 1 32:15 21
5 Ynyshir Albions 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
6 Baglan Dragons 12 5 2 5 12:13 17
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 12 4 4 4 24:21 16
8 Treowen 11 5 1 5 20:21 16
9 Carmarthen Town 12 4 3 5 24:26 15
10 Afan Lido 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
11 Caerphilly 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
12 Pontardawe 10 4 1 5 17:18 13
13 Newport City 10 3 3 4 19:15 12
14 Cardiff Draconians 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
15 Llantwit Major 11 3 2 6 12:24 11
16 Llanelli 13 0 2 11 9:40 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)