Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Purmersteijn and ADO 20 Heemskerk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Purmersteijn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Purmersteijn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- ADO 20 Heemskerk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Purmersteijn a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 20%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Purmersteijn | ADO 20 Heemskerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Derde Divisie
Purmersteijn vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:1
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Purmersteijn vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Purmersteijn 40 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Purmersteijn ADO 20 Heemskerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Purmersteijn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Purmersteijn's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.
Defensive concern: ADO 20 Heemskerk conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Purmersteijn has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Purmersteijn VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Purmersteijn
(Home) 20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Purmersteijn
4 : 3 RKVV Zwaluw
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Purmersteijn
4 : 3 RKVV Zwaluw
15 Aug
Purmersteijn
3 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Jul
Purmersteijn
1 : 7 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Away) 20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 8 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 13 | VV DOVO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | VV Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
