Sport Picks
Purmersteijn vs Harkemase Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Purmersteijn in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Purmersteijn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Purmersteijn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Harkemase Boys lately — more wins on the board than Purmersteijn.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Purmersteijn taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 16%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Purmersteijn | Harkemase Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
Purmersteijn vs Harkemase Boys
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Purmersteijn 39 / 100
Harkemase Boys 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Purmersteijn Harkemase Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Purmersteijn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Purmersteijn scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.
Harkemase Boys let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Purmersteijn remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Purmersteijn VS Harkemase Boys
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Purmersteijn
(Home) 03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0 Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Purmersteijn
4 : 3 RKVV Zwaluw
15 Aug
Purmersteijn
3 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 2
Harkemase Boys
(Away) 03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
