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Purmersteijn vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Purmersteijn host Sparta Nijkerk in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Purmersteijn have averaged 1.53 scored and 2.2 conceded recently, against Sparta Nijkerk's 2.39 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Purmersteijn have won 0 to Sparta Nijkerk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2017, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.13, favoring Sparta Nijkerk. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Purmersteijn
15%
Draws
46%
Sparta Nijkerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than Purmersteijn.
  • Model gives Sparta Nijkerk a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purmersteijn Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.53 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 KNVB Beker
Sparta Nijkerk vs Purmersteijn
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purmersteijn 18 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purmersteijn Sparta Nijkerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Purmersteijn scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Sparta Nijkerk has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Purmersteijn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Purmersteijn VS Sparta Nijkerk
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Purmersteijn

(Home)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3

Sparta Nijkerk

(Away)
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)