Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Purmersteijn vs Sportlust Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Laghmouchi S.
90' Event
de Weerd R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Sportlust advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Purmersteijn
20%
Draws
47%
Sportlust
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportlust

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportlust carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Sportlust arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportlust, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 12%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purmersteijn Sportlust
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Purmersteijn
1:1
Aug 12, 2023 KNVB Beker
Purmersteijn vs Sportlust
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Purmersteijn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sportlust Compare

Top Goalscorer Laghmouchi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Weerd R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purmersteijn 35 / 100
Sportlust 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purmersteijn Sportlust

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportlust Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Purmersteijn found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

Sportlust's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Purmersteijn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Purmersteijn VS Sportlust
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Purmersteijn

(Home)
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
Page 1 of 3

Sportlust

(Away)
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waalwijk -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
ADO 20 Heemskerk -
TBD -
TBD -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
RKVV Zwaluw 1
VV Scherpenzeel 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
SJC Noordwijk 2
Bon Boys 1
Kampong 2
Gemert 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TEC 2
VV DOVO 1
Avanti 0
Meerssen 3
CSV Apeldoorn 1
ODIN '59 0
OJC Rosmalen 5
FC OSS '20 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
ONS Sneek 0
GVV Unitas 4
CVV Blauw Wit 34 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
HSV Hoek 3
SteDoCo 2
ACV Assen -
TBD -
USV Hercules 2
VV Berkum 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Lisse -
TBD -
Blauw Geel 5
SVOD 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Cambuur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Groene Ster 6
Groen Wit 0
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Nieuwkoop 0
RKAV Volendam 2
Westlandia 3
HV & CV Quick 1
Eemdijk 5
Bunde 0
HSC '21 3
Harkemase Boys 4
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
GVVV -
TBD -
Barendrecht 2
Genemuiden 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
VV Kloetinge 6
BOL 0
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Veensche Boys 1
Heesch 2
TBD -
De Treffers -
VVSB 4
Rijnvogels 3
Jubbega 3
UNA 5
DEM 1
Xerxes DZB 0
Purmersteijn 0
Sportlust 2
Baronie 0
VV Hoogeveen 1
AWC 1
Staphorst 2
RKSV Nuenen 4
VV Chevremont 2
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
AGB 1
Olde Veste 2
TBD -
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
Urk 0
IJsselmeervogels 2
TOGB 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
1/64-finals
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Waalwijk -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
Quick Boys 1
TBD -
NAC Breda -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Spakenburg 1
VV Scherpenzeel 0
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
SJC Noordwijk 1
Gemert 0
TBD -
Willem II -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TEC 2
Meerssen 0
CSV Apeldoorn 1
OJC Rosmalen 3
TBD -
Almere City -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
GVV Unitas 2
TBD -
Sittard -
SVV Scheveningen 2
HSV Hoek 1
ACV Assen 1
USV Hercules 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Lisse 1
Blauw Geel 0
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Cambuur -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Groene Ster 1
Kozakken Boys 0
TBD -
Vitesse -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
RKAV Volendam 3
Westlandia 0
Eemdijk 3
Harkemase Boys 2
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
GVVV 5
Barendrecht 2
TBD -
Telstar -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
VV Kloetinge 1
Koninklijke HFC 3
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Heesch 1
De Treffers 3
VVSB 1
UNA 2
DEM 3
Sportlust 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
Staphorst 0
RKSV Nuenen 0
Excelsior Maassluis 1
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Olde Veste 0
VV Noordwijk 2
TBD -
Den Haag -
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
IJsselmeervogels 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
1/32-finals
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Utrecht 3
Waalwijk 2
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
Hardenberg 2
Heracles 0
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Quick Boys 1
NAC Breda 0
De Graafschap 2
FC Emmen 0
Spakenburg 3
Helmond Sport 1
Den Bosch 1
Excelsior 2
SJC Noordwijk 1
Willem II 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 0
Groningen 1
Katwijk 5
TEC 0
OJC Rosmalen 1
Almere City 8
TOP Oss 0
Eindhoven FC 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Sittard 1
SVV Scheveningen 0
USV Hercules 1
TBD -
Ajax -
Lisse 1
Dordrecht 3
Cambuur 4
Maastricht 1
Groene Ster 0
Vitesse 1
Heerenveen 5
Venlo 1
RKAV Volendam 5
Eemdijk 0
AFC 1
Zwolle 0
GVVV 1
Telstar 0
Nijmegen 5
Roda 3
Koninklijke HFC 1
G.A. Eagles 4
De Treffers 4
UNA 0
DEM 3
VV Hoogeveen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 1
FC Volendam 0
VV Noordwijk 0
Den Haag 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Sparta Rotterdam 2
1/16-finals
Feyenoord 2
Utrecht 1
PSV 3
Twente 1
Hardenberg 2
AZ Alkmaar 3
Quick Boys 2
De Graafschap 0
Spakenburg 2
Excelsior 3
Willem II 1
Groningen 3
Katwijk 1
Almere City 2
Eindhoven FC 0
Sittard 2
USV Hercules 3
Ajax 2
Dordrecht 0
Cambuur 3
Vitesse 1
Heerenveen 0
RKAV Volendam 0
AFC 1
GVVV 1
Nijmegen 6
G.A. Eagles 7
De Treffers 1
DEM 0
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Den Haag 2
Sparta Rotterdam 0
1/8-finals
Feyenoord 1
PSV 0
AZ Alkmaar 4
Quick Boys 3
Excelsior 0
Groningen 2
Almere City 1
Sittard 2
USV Hercules 3
Cambuur 4
Vitesse 1
AFC 0
Nijmegen 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Den Haag 2
Quarter-finals
Feyenoord 2
AZ Alkmaar 0
Groningen 1
Sittard 0
Cambuur 3
Vitesse 1
Nijmegen 3
Den Haag 0
Semi-finals
Feyenoord 2
Groningen 1
Cambuur 1
Nijmegen 2
Final
Feyenoord 1
Nijmegen 0