Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Purmersteijn vs VV Scherpenzeel

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Purmersteijn and VV Scherpenzeel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Purmersteijn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Purmersteijn
20%
Draws
47%
VV Scherpenzeel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VV Scherpenzeel come out ahead of Purmersteijn on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 15%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purmersteijn VV Scherpenzeel
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.36 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Purmersteijn vs VV Scherpenzeel
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purmersteijn 31 / 100
VV Scherpenzeel 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purmersteijn VV Scherpenzeel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Purmersteijn's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

VV Scherpenzeel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Purmersteijn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Purmersteijn VS VV Scherpenzeel
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Purmersteijn

(Home)
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
Page 1 of 3

VV Scherpenzeel

(Away)
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Alkmaarse FC 1934
4 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 7 6 1 0 19:4 19
2 Genemuiden 7 6 0 1 16:4 18
3 Harkemase Boys 7 5 2 0 13:7 17
4 Excelsior 31 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
5 VV Scherpenzeel 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
6 Sportlust 7 4 3 0 16:10 15
7 TEC 7 4 1 2 24:16 13
8 Sparta Nijkerk 7 3 2 2 20:16 11
9 Purmersteijn 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
10 VV Hoogeveen 7 3 1 3 17:14 10
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 7 2 1 4 12:17 7
12 USV Hercules 7 2 0 5 11:20 6
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 7 1 2 4 10:14 5
14 VV DOVO 7 1 2 4 8:16 5
15 Staphorst 7 0 3 4 10:15 3
16 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 7 0 1 6 9:24 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 7 5 2 0 20:6 17
2 VV Noordwijk 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
3 Lisse 7 5 1 1 12:6 16
4 Excelsior Maassluis 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
5 GOES 7 4 2 1 16:13 14
6 RKSV UDI 19 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
7 Gemert 7 2 4 1 12:11 10
8 Dongen 7 3 1 3 17:17 10
9 VV Zwaluwen 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
10 SV Poortugaal 7 3 0 4 8:9 9
11 Roosendaal 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
12 Blauw Geel 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
13 UNA 7 1 4 2 11:12 7
14 VVSB 7 2 1 4 8:13 7
15 Groene Ster 7 1 3 3 11:15 6
16 TOGB 7 1 2 4 9:15 5
17 Achilles Veen 7 1 0 6 7:19 3
18 EVV 7 0 2 5 8:17 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)