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Pusta Polom vs Sumperk Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group F
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pusta Polom host Sumperk in the 4. liga - Group F. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sumperk have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Pusta Polom have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Pusta Polom have won 0 to Sumperk's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward Sumperk. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pusta Polom
15%
Draws
28%
Sumperk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pusta Polom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Sumperk have won more games recently than Pusta Polom.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sumperk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pusta Polom Clean Sheet 14%
Sumperk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pusta Polom Sumperk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 4. liga - Group F
Pusta Polom vs Sumperk
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 4. liga - Group F
Sumperk vs Pusta Polom
3:0
Apr 2, 2017 4. liga - Group E
Pusta Polom vs Sumperk
1:4
Aug 28, 2016 4. liga - Group E
Sumperk vs Pusta Polom
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pusta Polom 31 / 100
Sumperk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pusta Polom Sumperk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumperk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pusta Polom found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Sumperk let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Sumperk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pusta Polom VS Sumperk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pusta Polom

(Home)
27 Sept
Pusta Polom
3 : 2
Novy Jicin
18 Sept
Hlucin
4 : 1
Pusta Polom
13 Sept
Bilovec
1 : 0
Pusta Polom
06 Sept
Pusta Polom
1 : 0
Bridlicna
30 Aug
Bohumin
4 : 1
Pusta Polom
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Sumperk

(Away)
27 Sept
Bridlicna
2 : 1
Sumperk
20 Sept
Sumperk
1 : 3
Bohumin
13 Sept
Zabreh
1 : 0
Sumperk
05 Sept
Sumperk
1 : 2
Opava B
29 Aug
Frydlant n. Ost.
1 : 5
Sumperk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohumin 8 7 0 1 29:10 21
2 MFK Kravare 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
3 Hlucin 8 6 0 2 19:11 18
4 Vratimov FC 8 6 0 2 17:11 18
5 Rymarov 8 4 2 2 20:12 14
6 Stonava 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Opava B 8 4 1 3 18:15 13
8 Novy Jicin 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Zabreh 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
10 Pusta Polom 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
11 Valasske Mezirici 8 2 3 3 18:17 9
12 Sumperk 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
13 Bridlicna 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
14 Frydek-Mistek B 8 2 0 6 14:20 6
15 Bilovec 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
16 Frydlant n. Ost. 8 0 0 8 7:34 0
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)