Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puszcza host Polonia Warszawa in the Division 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Puszcza at 1.13 goals for, 1.88 against; Polonia Warszawa at 1 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Puszcza slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Puszcza to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Puszcza
33%
Draws
27%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Puszcza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polonia Warszawa come out ahead of Puszcza on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Puszcza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Puszcza here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puszcza Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Puszcza
1:2
Feb 27, 2025 Polish Cup
Polonia Warszawa vs Puszcza
1:2
May 6, 2017 Division 2
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Oct 7, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Puszcza
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puszcza 39 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puszcza Polonia Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Puszcza found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Polonia Warszawa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puszcza VS Polonia Warszawa
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arka Gdynia00000:00
2LKS Lodz00000:00
3Lechia Gdansk00000:00
4Odra Opole00000:00
5Podbeskidzie00000:00
6Warta Poznan00000:00
7Ruch Chorzow00000:00
8Polonia Bytom00000:00
9Polonia Warszawa00000:00
10Legnica00000:00
11Termalica Bruk-Bet00000:00
12S. Rzeszow00000:00
13Puszcza00000:00
14Chrobry Glogow00000:00
15Pogon Siedlce00000:00
16Unia Skierniewice00000:00
17Stal Mielec00000:00
18Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki00000:00