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Stadium Background

Puszcza vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puszcza host Lechia Gdansk in the Division 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Lechia Gdansk have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Puszcza have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Puszcza have won 4 to Lechia Gdansk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2025, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.25) point toward Puszcza. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Puszcza
15%
Draws
71%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Lechia Gdansk's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what Puszcza have produced (1.21).
  • Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Puszcza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puszcza Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Polish Cup
Puszcza vs Lechia Gdansk
1:3
Feb 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Lechia Gdansk
4:1
Feb 9, 2021 Polish Cup
Puszcza vs Lechia Gdansk
3:1
Sep 21, 2016 Polish Cup
Puszcza vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puszcza 10 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puszcza Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Puszcza found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Puszcza stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puszcza VS Lechia Gdansk
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puszcza

(Home)
19 Oct
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0
Puszcza
15 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 3
Puszcza
11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1
Polonia Bytom
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3
Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
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Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Oct
S. Rzeszow
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)