Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puszcza vs Podbeskidzie

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Trubeha A.
31'
Majsterek J.
41' Event
Nascimento F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Puszcza in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puszcza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Puszcza
30%
Draws
23%
Podbeskidzie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puszcza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Podbeskidzie at 1.72 per game, Puszcza at 1.28.
  • Model gives Puszcza a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 20%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puszcza Podbeskidzie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 12
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 1
Puszcza vs Podbeskidzie
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Puszcza vs Podbeskidzie
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza
2:3
Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza
1:3
Mar 18, 2023 Division 1
Puszcza vs Podbeskidzie
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cholewiak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Podbeskidzie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puszcza 85 / 100
Podbeskidzie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puszcza Podbeskidzie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puszcza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puszcza's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Podbeskidzie conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Puszcza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puszcza VS Podbeskidzie
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puszcza

(Home)
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0
Podbeskidzie
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6

Podbeskidzie

(Away)
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)