Sport Picks
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice 
Match Events
32'
32'
Przybylko K.
52'
52'
Wolowiec K.
56'
56'
Sub
Pieprzyca I. In: Strajnar M.
Out: Pieprzyca I.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Puszcza and Polonia Warszawa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Warszawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Warszawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polonia Warszawa come out ahead of Puszcza on wins alone.
- 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Puszcza here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 13%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puszcza | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Division 1
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa
0:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Puszcza
1:2
Feb 27, 2025 Polish Cup
Polonia Warszawa vs Puszcza
1:2
May 6, 2017 Division 2
Puszcza vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puszcza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Polonia Warszawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Skrabb S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puszcza 31 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puszcza Polonia Warszawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Puszcza scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Polonia Warszawa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Puszcza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Puszcza VS Polonia Warszawa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Puszcza
(Home) 02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3 Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2 LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2 LKS Lodz
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0 Podbeskidzie
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
08 Aug
Puszcza
3 : 1 Odra Opole
26 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Warszawa
(Away) 10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
22 Aug
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 3 Polonia Warszawa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
