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Puteolana Internapoli vs A.C. Savoia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puteolana Internapoli play A.C. Savoia in the Serie D - Group G 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puteolana Internapoli averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. A.C. Savoia averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Puteolana Internapoli won 0, A.C. Savoia won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 6, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Puteolana Internapoli and 1.55 for A.C. Savoia. This points to a A.C. Savoia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Puteolana Internapoli
26%
Draws
41%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: A.C. Savoia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Puteolana Internapoli picked up more points recently compared to A.C. Savoia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 15%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puteolana Internapoli A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Puteolana Internapoli vs A.C. Savoia
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
A.C. Savoia vs Puteolana Internapoli
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puteolana Internapoli 33 / 100
A.C. Savoia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puteolana Internapoli A.C. Savoia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: A.C. Savoia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puteolana Internapoli attacking → ← attacking A.C. Savoia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puteolana Internapoli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

A.C. Savoia let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Puteolana Internapoli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

A.C. Savoia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guidonia 193734209559:2569
2Gelbison341810657:3764
3Sarnese34188854:3762
4Cassino341513640:2558
5A.C. Savoia34169945:3357
6Paganese341511841:2856
7Cynthialbalonga341561349:4251
8Puteolana Internapoli3413111048:4250
9Trastevere Calcio341281452:5544
10Olbia341191446:5042
11Latte Dolce341181552:5741
12Anzio Calcio 19243410101439:5740
13Atl. Lodigiani349111439:4938
14Real Monterotondo341081634:3938
15Ilvamaddalena341081639:4138
16Sarrabus Ogliastra34891735:5633
17Atletico Uri346111733:5329
18Terracina34592027:6324