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PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 PVF Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PVF-CAND play Cong An Ha Noi in the V.League 1. Cong An Ha Noi are favorites here. Recently, PVF-CAND averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Cong An Ha Noi averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, PVF-CAND won 0, Cong An Ha Noi won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for PVF-CAND and 1.00 for Cong An Ha Noi. This points to a Cong An Ha Noi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
PVF-CAND
25%
Draws
60%
Cong An Ha Noi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • PVF-CAND picked up more points recently compared to Cong An Ha Noi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 23%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVF-CAND Cong An Ha Noi
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs PVF-CAND
2:0
Oct 24, 2022 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs PVF-CAND
2:1
Jun 26, 2022 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
2:2
May 1, 2021 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PVF-CAND Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Xuan Bac
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Dinh Bac
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVF-CAND 18 / 100
Cong An Ha Noi 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVF-CAND Cong An Ha Noi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cong An Ha Noi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PVF-CAND attacking → ← attacking Cong An Ha Noi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVF-CAND scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cong An Ha Noi let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

PVF-CAND went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cong An Ha Noi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 69
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324