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PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Moengotapoe in this SML 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
PVV
20%
Draws
22%
Inter Moengotapoe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • PVV haven't matched Inter Moengotapoe's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on PVV taking it.
  • Inter Moengotapoe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter Moengotapoe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
PVV Clean Sheet 14%
Inter Moengotapoe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVV Inter Moengotapoe
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.7 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
1:2
May 30, 2025 SML
Inter Moengotapoe vs PVV
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 SML
Inter Moengotapoe vs PVV
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVV 48 / 100
Inter Moengotapoe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVV Inter Moengotapoe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVV's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Inter Moengotapoe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

PVV has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inter Moengotapoe
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

PVV

(Home)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

Inter Moengotapoe

(Away)
24 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 4
Leo Victor
20 May
Inter Moengotapoe
0 : 3
Robinhood
17 May
Robinhood
1 : 0
Inter Moengotapoe
13 May
Voorwaarts
2 : 1
Inter Moengotapoe
10 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 1
Voorwaarts
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Robinhood -
TBD -
Notch 2
PVV 5
SV Transvaal -
TBD -
Voorwaarts 0
Inter Moengotapoe 5
Semi-finals
Robinhood 1
PVV 2
SV Transvaal 2
Inter Moengotapoe 3
Final
PVV 1
Inter Moengotapoe 2
Robinhood 4
SV Transvaal 0