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PVV vs Leo Victor

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The SML 2025 game between PVV and Leo Victor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PVV
30%
Draws
39%
Leo Victor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leo Victor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Leo Victor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PVV a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • PVV have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
PVV Clean Sheet 68%
Leo Victor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVV Leo Victor
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 SML
PVV vs Leo Victor
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 SML
Leo Victor vs PVV
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 SML
Leo Victor vs PVV
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 SML
Leo Victor vs PVV
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVV 50 / 100
Leo Victor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVV Leo Victor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVV scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Leo Victor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

PVV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leo Victor
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PVV

(Home)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

Leo Victor

(Away)
24 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 4
Leo Victor
21 May
Broki
0 : 1
Leo Victor
17 May
Leo Victor
0 : 3
Broki
07 May
Robinhood
1 : 1
Leo Victor
03 May
Leo Victor
4 : 0
Inter Wanica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 18 12 6 0 49:16 42
2 SV Transvaal 18 11 4 3 26:10 37
3 Voorwaarts 18 11 1 6 32:20 34
4 PVV 18 9 4 5 36:19 31
5 Inter Moengotapoe 18 8 6 4 36:26 30
6 Notch 18 8 6 4 27:25 30
7 Inter Wanica 18 4 4 10 17:39 16
8 Leo Victor 18 3 4 11 17:27 13
9 Flora 18 3 3 12 23:43 12
10 Broki 18 2 0 16 17:55 6
Promotion - SML 2025 (Play Offs)