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PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PWD Sports Club host Mohammedan in the BFL. This one's hard to separate. PWD Sports Club have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Mohammedan's 2 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Mohammedan slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Mohammedan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
PWD Sports Club
35%
Draws
41%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mohammedan have won more games recently than PWD Sports Club.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Mohammedan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
PWD Sports Club Clean Sheet 13%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PWD Sports Club Mohammedan
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.8 2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 BFL
PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs PWD Sports Club
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PWD Sports Club 10 / 100
Mohammedan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PWD Sports Club Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PWD Sports Club stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mohammedan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

PWD Sports Club found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (25 games).

Scoring Trends

PWD Sports Club VS Mohammedan
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PWD Sports Club

(Home)
09 Oct
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 1
PWD Sports Club
02 Oct
PWD Sports Club
1 : 1
Brothers U.
18 Sept
PWD Sports Club
0 : 0
Abahani Limited Dhaka
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
Page 1 of 5

Mohammedan

(Away)
10 Oct
Mohammedan
6 : 0
Arambagh
06 Oct
Mohammedan
3 : 1
Arambagh
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh Police 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Fortis 3 2 1 0 15:3 7
3 City Club 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
4 Mohammedan 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
5 Bashundara Kings 2 1 1 0 8:1 4
6 Abahani Limited Dhaka 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
7 PWD Sports Club 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Fakirerpool YMC 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
9 Rahmatgonj MFS 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Arambagh 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
11 Brothers U. 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
12 Chattogram 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
13 Dhaka Wanderers 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
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