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Pyeongchang United vs Jinju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pyeongchang United host Jinju Citizen in the K4 League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pyeongchang United have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Jinju Citizen's 2.03 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Pyeongchang United have won 0 to Jinju Citizen's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.88) point toward Jinju Citizen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pyeongchang United
30%
Draws
37%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jinju Citizen come out ahead of Pyeongchang United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jinju Citizen a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pyeongchang United Clean Sheet 10%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongchang United Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Pyeongchang United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongchang United 22 / 100
Jinju Citizen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongchang United Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pyeongchang United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pyeongchang United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Jinju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pyeongchang United VS Jinju Citizen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyeongchang United

(Home)
04 Oct
Seosan Pioneer
1 : 1
Pyeongchang United
12 Sept
Seoul Jungnang
3 : 2
Pyeongchang United
05 Sept
Pyeongchang United
2 : 1
Jecheon Citizen
29 Aug
Haman
2 : 3
Pyeongchang United
22 Aug
Pyeongchang United
0 : 1
Jincheon
Page 1 of 6

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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