Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Pyeongtaek Citizen and Geumsan Insam finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Geumsan Insam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
11%
Draws
80%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Geumsan Insam are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Geumsan Insam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 15%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongtaek Citizen Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geumsan Insam
2:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongtaek Citizen 11 / 100
Geumsan Insam 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongtaek Citizen Geumsan Insam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Pyeongtaek Citizen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Pyeongtaek Citizen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pyeongtaek Citizen VS Geumsan Insam
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1694331:1531
3Geumsan Insam1676327:1827
4Seoul Jungnang1674527:1925
5Jecheon Citizen1666417:1924
6Namyangju1665520:2023
7Sejong SA1572623:2423
8Geoje1563629:2221
9Pyeongchang United1662820:2420
10Gijang United1652919:2917
11Haman16421016:2814
12Seosan Pioneer15401120:3612
13Pyeongtaek Citizen16231116:379