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Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Namyangju

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

Pyeongtaek Citizen play Namyangju in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pyeongtaek Citizen averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2 conceded. Namyangju averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Pyeongtaek Citizen won 0, Namyangju won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Pyeongtaek Citizen and 2.00 for Namyangju. This points to a Namyangju double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
18%
Draws
54%
Namyangju
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Namyangju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Namyangju.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Namyangju Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongtaek Citizen Namyangju
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 2 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Namyangju
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongtaek Citizen 27 / 100
Namyangju 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongtaek Citizen Namyangju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namyangju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Namyangju & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pyeongtaek Citizen attacking → ← attacking Namyangju

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyeongtaek Citizen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Namyangju let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pyeongtaek Citizen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Namyangju lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 29
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369