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Pyrgos vs AEL Larissa

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kampetsis A.
70' Event
Kampetsis A.
82' Event
Dabizas A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 game between Pyrgos and AEL Larissa finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEL Larissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pyrgos
30%
Draws
47%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyrgos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AEL Larissa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 13%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyrgos AEL Larissa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 12
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Super League 2
Pyrgos vs AEL Larissa
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pyrgos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kampetsis A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dabizas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyrgos 19 / 100
AEL Larissa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyrgos AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pyrgos scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

AEL Larissa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Pyrgos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pyrgos VS AEL Larissa
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyrgos

(Home)
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Pyrgos
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
18 Aug
Atromitos
3 : 1
Pyrgos
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Ellas Syrou 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
3 AEL Larissa 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
4 Panthrakikos 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Panionios 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
6 Athens Kallithea 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 PAOK B 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Olympiacos Piraeus B 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
9 Chrisoupolis 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Panserraikos 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Asteras Tripolis B 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
12 Karditsa 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
13 Apollon Kalamaria 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
14 Zakynthos 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
15 Pyrgos 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
16 Niki Volos 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
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