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Stadium Background

Pyrgos vs Pelopas Kiatou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pyrgos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pyrgos
30%
Draws
23%
Pelopas Kiatou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pyrgos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pyrgos have won more games recently than Pelopas Kiatou.
  • Win probability leans Pyrgos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pyrgos have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 20%
Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyrgos Pelopas Kiatou
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.79 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Pelopas Kiatou
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pelopas Kiatou vs Pyrgos
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Pelopas Kiatou
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyrgos 42 / 100
Pelopas Kiatou 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyrgos Pelopas Kiatou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Pyrgos's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pelopas Kiatou conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Pelopas Kiatou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pyrgos VS Pelopas Kiatou
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyrgos

(Home)
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Pyrgos
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
18 Aug
Atromitos
3 : 1
Pyrgos
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
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Pelopas Kiatou

(Away)
08 Apr
Pyrgos
3 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Zakynthos
5 : 2
Pelopas Kiatou
22 Mar
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Miltiadis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 27 21 3 3 57:12 66
2 Zakynthos 27 19 5 3 58:15 62
3 Panegialios FC 27 18 7 2 46:15 61
4 Korinthos 27 10 9 8 41:39 39
5 Miltiadis 27 9 7 11 34:36 34
6 Pelopas Kiatou 27 9 4 14 22:41 31
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