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Pyrgos vs Thyella Patras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Pyrgos Logo

Pyrgos

2 - 0
FT
Thyella Patras Logo

Thyella Patras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Pyrgos and Thyella Patras finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pyrgos
15%
Draws
58%
Thyella Patras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thyella Patras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Thyella Patras haven't matched Pyrgos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Thyella Patras a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 20%
Thyella Patras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyrgos Thyella Patras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Thyella Patras
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Thyella Patras vs Pyrgos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyrgos 10 / 100
Thyella Patras 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyrgos Thyella Patras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thyella Patras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyrgos found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Thyella Patras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pyrgos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pyrgos VS Thyella Patras
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyrgos

(Home)
18 Aug
Atromitos
3 : 1
Pyrgos
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Pyrgos
0 : 3
Zakynthos
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

Thyella Patras

(Away)
08 Apr
Thyella Patras
1 : 1
Loutraki FC
05 Apr
Pangytheatikos
0 : 4
Thyella Patras
01 Apr
Thyella Patras
2 : 0
Panthouriakos
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)