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Qafqaz vs Goyazan Qazax

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qafqaz play Goyazan Qazax in the First Division 2008/2009. Qafqaz are favorites here. Recently, Qafqaz averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Goyazan Qazax averaged 0.82 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. In past meetings, Qafqaz won 3, Goyazan Qazax won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2009 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Qafqaz and 0.99 for Goyazan Qazax. This points to a Qafqaz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Qafqaz
23%
Draws
16%
Goyazan Qazax
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Qafqaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Qafqaz picked up more points recently compared to Goyazan Qazax.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Qafqaz Clean Sheet 23%
Goyazan Qazax Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qafqaz Goyazan Qazax
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.37 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2009 I Liqa
Qafqaz vs Goyazan Qazax
7:1
Mar 7, 2009 I Liqa
Goyazan Qazax vs Qafqaz
0:0
Nov 15, 2008 I Liqa
Qafqaz vs Goyazan Qazax
1:0
Sep 27, 2008 I Liqa
Goyazan Qazax vs Qafqaz
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qafqaz 60 / 100
Goyazan Qazax 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qafqaz Goyazan Qazax

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qafqaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Qafqaz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qafqaz attacking → ← attacking Goyazan Qazax

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qafqaz scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Goyazan Qazax let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Qafqaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Goyazan Qazax lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 17
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75