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Qala Saints vs Hibernians

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alex Bruno
Penalty Missed
5' Event
Villela L.
40' Event
Villela L.

AI Match Summary

Hibernians in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Qala Saints
20%
Draws
20%
Hibernians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qala Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Hibernians have won more games recently than Qala Saints.
  • Model gives Qala Saints a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Hibernians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernians, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 16%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qala Saints Hibernians
Matches Played 17 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Qala Saints vs Hibernians
0:3
Jan 14, 2024 FA Trophy
Hibernians vs Qala Saints
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qala Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hibernians Compare

Top Goalscorer Villela L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Bruno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qala Saints 57 / 100
Hibernians 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qala Saints Hibernians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qala Saints Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernians let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Hibernians has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Qala Saints found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Qala Saints VS Hibernians
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qala Saints

(Home)
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2
Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5
Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3
Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4

Hibernians

(Away)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2
Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0
Hibernians
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2