Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Frendo K.
63'
63'
Cristhyan Noto
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qala Saints
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mgarr lately — more wins on the board than Qala Saints.
- Qala Saints are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Mgarr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mgarr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 14%
Mgarr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qala Saints | Mgarr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.76 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Qala Saints vs Mgarr
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qala Saints Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Mgarr Compare
Top Goalscorer Frendo K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cristhyan Noto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qala Saints 39 / 100
Mgarr 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qala Saints Mgarr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick QAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mgarr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Qala Saints found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).
Solid form: Qala Saints remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Qala Saints VS Mgarr
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Qala Saints
(Home) 27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2 Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5 Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3 Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0 St. Andrews
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27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2 Mgarr
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3 Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0 St. Andrews
14 Sept
Qala Saints
2 : 3 Dingli Swallows
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Mgarr
(Away) 18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2 Gudja
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1 Vittoriosa
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2 Mgarr
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18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2 Mgarr
28 Feb
Marsa
1 : 2 Mgarr
14 Feb
Gudja
0 : 0 Mgarr
01 Feb
Zurrieq
1 : 1 Mgarr
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
