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Qalali vs Bahrain SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Tue, Jan 23, 2024
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Qalali have averaged 1.17 scored and 2.31 conceded recently, against Bahrain SC's 1.03 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Bahrain SC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 0.93) back Qalali to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qalali
15%
Draws
85%
Bahrain SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Qalali lately — more wins on the board than Bahrain SC.
  • Model gives Bahrain SC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Qalali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Qalali Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qalali Bahrain SC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Bahrain SC
0:0
Mar 21, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Qalali
2:4
Sep 7, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Bahrain SC
1:4
Sep 27, 2015 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Bahrain SC
0:2
Jan 7, 2015 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Qalali
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qalali 16 / 100
Bahrain SC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qalali Bahrain SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahrain SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bahrain SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Qalali scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahrain SC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qalali

(Home)
24 Jan
Al Hala
3 : 0
Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0
Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7
Al Ahli
08 Dec
Al Muharraq
1 : 0
Qalali
18 Nov
Al Muharraq
8 : 0
Qalali
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Bahrain SC

(Away)
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al Najma
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Al Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2
Al Ahli
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)