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Qalali vs Malkia

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malkia in this King's Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 0-9. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qalali
15%
Draws
85%
Malkia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Malkia have won more games recently than Qalali.
  • Win probability leans Malkia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Malkia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malkia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malkia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Qalali Clean Sheet 20%
Malkia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qalali Malkia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Malkia vs Qalali
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Malkia vs Qalali
0:3
Jan 14, 2017 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
2:3
Jan 18, 2016 King's Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
0:9
Dec 30, 2013 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Malkia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qalali 10 / 100
Malkia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qalali Malkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malkia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Malkia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Qalali found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Malkia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malkia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qalali

(Home)
24 Jan
Al-Hala
3 : 0
Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0
Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7
Al-Ahli
08 Dec
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Qalali
18 Nov
Al-Muharraq
8 : 0
Qalali
Page 1 of 6

Malkia

(Away)
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0
Malkia
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Bahrain SC 1
Busaiteen 0
Al-Budaiya 1
Al-Najma 2
Al-Shabbab 0
Al-Muharraq 5
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
Al-Hala 1
Al-Ahli 4
Qalali 0
Malkia 9
Sitra 0
Al-Hidd 3
Al-Ittihad 0
Al Riffa 4
Quarter-finals
Bahrain SC 1
Al-Najma 3
Al-Muharraq 6
Manama Club 2
Al-Ahli 1
Malkia 0
Al-Hidd 0
Al Riffa 2
Semi-finals
Al-Najma 1
Al-Muharraq 6
Al-Ahli 1
Al Riffa 2
Final
Al-Muharraq 3
Al Riffa 1