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Qamishli vs Al Karamah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qamishli host Al Karamah in the Premier League. Al Karamah go into this one as the clear favorite. Qamishli have averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Al Karamah's 1.83 scored and 0.97 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.36) point toward Al Karamah. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Qamishli
25%
Draws
35%
Al Karamah
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Qamishli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Karamah lately — more wins on the board than Qamishli.
  • Model gives Al Karamah a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Qamishli Clean Sheet 18%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qamishli Al Karamah
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 0.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qamishli 12 / 100
Al Karamah 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qamishli Al Karamah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karamah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Qamishli scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Qamishli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qamishli VS Al Karamah
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qamishli

(Home)
09 Oct
Qamishli
1 : 0
Al Wahda
11 Mar
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Qamishli

Al Karamah

(Away)
10 Oct
Tishreen
0 : 0
Al Karamah
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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