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Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Ajax U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Azersun Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Unuvar E.
37' Event
Ouazane A.
Assist: Nash P.
43' Event
Unuvar E.
Assist: Jetten L.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between Qarabag Agdam U19 and Ajax U19 finished 0-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qarabag Agdam U19
15%
Draws
85%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax U19 come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ajax U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.33 2.79
Goals Conceded 4.08 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Ajax U19
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Unuvar E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ouazane A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam U19 10 / 100
Ajax U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Qarabag Agdam U19's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Ajax U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ajax U19
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 8
Ajax U19
25 Nov
Napoli U19
2 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
22 Oct
Ath Bilbao U19
3 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
01 Oct
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
FC Copenhagen U19
Page 1 of 3

Ajax U19

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
30 May
Den Haag U19
2 : 4
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)