Sport Picks
Qarabag Agdam vs Kapaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku 
AI Match Summary
Qarabag Agdam host Kapaz in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Qarabag Agdam at 1.76 goals for, 1.14 against; Kapaz at 0.71 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.47) point toward Qarabag Agdam. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Kapaz on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qarabag Agdam | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.47 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qarabag Agdam's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kapaz has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Qarabag Agdam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Qarabag Agdam
(Home)Kapaz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | 2 |
