Sport Picks
Qarabag Agdam vs Neftci Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku 
AI Match Summary
Qarabag Agdam host Neftci Baku in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Qarabag Agdam have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.05 conceded recently, against Neftci Baku's 2.13 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.75) point toward Qarabag Agdam. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftci Baku haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qarabag Agdam | Neftci Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Qarabag Agdam scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.
Neftci Baku has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Qarabag Agdam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Qarabag Agdam
(Home)Neftci Baku
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | 2 |
