Sport Picks
Qarabag Agdam vs Safa Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Qarabag Agdam and Safa Baku finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Safa Baku on wins alone.
- Model gives Qarabag Agdam a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qarabag Agdam | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qarabag Agdam's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Qarabag Agdam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Safa Baku's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Qarabag Agdam
(Home)Safa Baku
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
