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Qarabag Agdam vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam host Turan in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Turan have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while Qarabag Agdam have conceded 1.08 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, Qarabag Agdam have won 4 to Turan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.94) point toward Qarabag Agdam. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Qarabag Agdam
30%
Draws
33%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Turan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Qarabag Agdam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam Turan
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Turan
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Turan
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Qarabag Agdam
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Qarabag Agdam
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Turan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 58 / 100
Turan 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Qarabag Agdam remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Qarabag Agdam scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Turan let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam VS Turan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam

(Home)
17 Oct
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Oct
Imisli FK
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 8

Turan

(Away)
11 Oct
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Turan
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
7 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
10 Imisli FK 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)