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Qatar SC vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Adam M.
44' Event
Ayman Mohamed A.
45' Event
Saeed H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Qatar SC
35%
Draws
37%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Mesaimeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Mesaimeer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Al Mesaimeer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 14%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Al Mesaimeer
2:2
Apr 4, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar SC
4:1
Dec 8, 2016 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar SC
2:2
Feb 27, 2016 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Mesaimeer
3:0
Oct 30, 2015 QSL
Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adam M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayman Mohamed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Saeed H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Naar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 31 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Qatar SC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Al Mesaimeer has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Qatar SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Al Mesaimeer
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)