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Qatar SC vs Al Wakra

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

5' Event
Abdurisag Y.
Assist: Naji M.
29' Event
Laidouni A.
Assist: Luis Alberto
34'
Sub
Diouf S. In: Kimpembe P.
Out: Diouf S.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Qatar SC and Al Wakra finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wakra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Qatar SC
30%
Draws
23%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qatar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wakra come out ahead of Qatar SC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Al Wakra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Qatar SC
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Wakra
1:4
Oct 31, 2025 QSL
Al Wakra vs Qatar SC
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 QSL
Al Wakra vs Qatar SC
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Wakra
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurisag Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laidouni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 30 / 100
Al Wakra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Wakra conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Al Wakra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Al Wakra
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
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Al Wakra

(Away)
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)