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Qatar U23 vs South Korea U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Paloma Mizuho Stadium, Nagoya
Qatar U23 Logo

Qatar U23

1 - 4
FT
South Korea U23 Logo

South Korea U23

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Eom Ji-Sung
20' Event
Eom Ji-Sung
22'
Shahabi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Korea U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Qatar U23
30%
Draws
61%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Korea U23 lately — more wins on the board than Qatar U23.
  • South Korea U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 11%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Asian Games
Qatar U23 vs South Korea U23
1:4
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Qatar U23
0:2
Jan 26, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs South Korea U23
1:0
Jan 26, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs South Korea U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherif M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eom Ji-Sung
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U23 18 / 100
South Korea U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U23 South Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

South Korea U23 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Qatar U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U23 VS South Korea U23
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6

South Korea U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)