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Qatar vs Tunisia

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar Logo

Qatar

0 - 3
FT
Tunisia Logo

Tunisia

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ben Romdhane M.
40'
Jaziri S.
46'
Sub
Al Brake S. In: Salman T.
Out: Al Brake S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Qatar
20%
Draws
0%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Qatar haven't matched Tunisia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Qatar a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Tunisia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Qatar Clean Sheet 68%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar Tunisia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Qatar vs Tunisia
0:3
Mar 25, 2011 Friendly International
Qatar vs Tunisia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Romdhane M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meriah Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar 95 / 100
Tunisia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar Tunisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Tunisia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Qatar scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Tunisia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Qatar VS Tunisia
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar

(Home)
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

Tunisia

(Away)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)