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Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:35 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Hainiu host Liaoning Tieren in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Liaoning Tieren have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Qingdao Hainiu have conceded 2.14 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Qingdao Hainiu have won 3 to Liaoning Tieren's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.94, favoring Liaoning Tieren. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qingdao Hainiu
15%
Draws
85%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Hainiu Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 League One
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
2:0
Nov 9, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 League Two
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Hainiu 30 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Hainiu Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liaoning Tieren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liaoning Tieren conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Qingdao Hainiu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Liaoning Tieren lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Hainiu VS Liaoning Tieren
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Hainiu

(Home)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

Liaoning Tieren

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)