Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qingdao Red Lions vs Changchun Xidu

China China

League Two Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Red Lions play Changchun Xidu in the League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qingdao Red Lions averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Changchun Xidu averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Qingdao Red Lions won 0, Changchun Xidu won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Qingdao Red Lions and 0.56 for Changchun Xidu. This points to a Qingdao Red Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Qingdao Red Lions
35%
Draws
29%
Changchun Xidu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Qingdao Red Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao Red Lions picked up more points recently compared to Changchun Xidu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 30%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Changchun Xidu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 2
Draws 9 15
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao Red Lions
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 League Two
Qingdao Red Lions vs Changchun Xidu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng Jiajie
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Changchun Xidu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 38 / 100
Changchun Xidu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Red Lions Changchun Xidu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Qingdao Red Lions or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qingdao Red Lions attacking → ← attacking Changchun Xidu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Red Lions scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Changchun Xidu let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Qingdao Red Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Xidu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 21
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
2Shandong Taishan B1592422:1329
3Dalian Kewei1567212:725
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1538414:1417
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1525814:2711
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281575323:1826
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
5Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
6Ganzhou Ruishi1565416:1423
7Hangzhou Linping1547415:2219
8Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
9Guangdong Mingtu1537515:1716
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B153489:1713
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179