Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Ubaydullaev S. In: Kacharava N.
Out: Ubaydullaev S.
40'
40'
Mukhtorov K.
Own Goal
45'
45'
Rakhmatullaev S.
AI Match Summary
Qizilqum in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qizilqum.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Buxoro lately — more wins on the board than Qizilqum.
- Model gives Qizilqum a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qizilqum | Buxoro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Buxoro
3:2
Apr 9, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Buxoro
1:0
Mar 14, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qizilqum Compare
Top Goalscorer Jigauri J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jurakuziev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Buxoro Compare
Top Goalscorer Esanov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kacharava N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qizilqum 77 / 100
Buxoro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qizilqum Buxoro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qizilqum scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Buxoro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Qizilqum stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Qizilqum VS Buxoro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Qizilqum
(Home) 21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 3
Buxoro
(Away) 19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
27 Jul
Andijan
2 : 0 Buxoro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
