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Qizilqum vs Lok. Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum host Lok. Tashkent in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Qizilqum have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Lok. Tashkent's 1.52 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Qizilqum have won 1 to Lok. Tashkent's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.69) back Lok. Tashkent to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Qizilqum
20%
Draws
40%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Tashkent have won more games recently than Qizilqum.
  • Model gives Qizilqum a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 13%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Qizilqum
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Qizilqum
4:2
Mar 29, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Lok. Tashkent
0:0
Aug 3, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Qizilqum
1:0
Mar 4, 2022 Super League
Qizilqum vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 39 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qizilqum found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Qizilqum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Lok. Tashkent
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
15 Oct
Andijan
0 : 1
Qizilqum
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0
Termez Surkhon
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
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Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
17 Oct
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 23 13 6 4 41:23 45
4 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
5 Lok. Tashkent 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
6 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
7 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)