Sport Picks
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy 
Match Events
42'
42'
Abdirakhmatov Z.
43'
43'
Nematkhonov N.
46'
46'
Sub
Rakhmatov M. In: Gulomov A.
Out: Rakhmatov M.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Qizilqum and Nasaf Qarshi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qizilqum.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nasaf Qarshi come out ahead of Qizilqum on wins alone.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Nasaf Qarshi have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 18%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qizilqum | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
Jul 28, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum
4:0
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qizilqum Compare
Top Goalscorer Nematkhonov N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qizilqum 32 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qizilqum Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Qizilqum scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Nasaf Qarshi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Qizilqum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Qizilqum VS Nasaf Qarshi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Qizilqum
(Home) 10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
