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Qizilqum vs Obod Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Fri, Oct 13, 2017
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum host Obod Tashkent in the Professional Football League 2017. Qizilqum are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Qizilqum at 1.17 goals for, 1.5 against; Obod Tashkent at 0.47 for, 1.87 against. Head-to-head, Qizilqum have won 1 to Obod Tashkent's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.25) point toward Qizilqum. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Qizilqum
15%
Draws
0%
Obod Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Qizilqum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qizilqum are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 19%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Obod Tashkent
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.17 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2017 Super League
Qizilqum vs Obod Tashkent
0:0
May 6, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Qizilqum
1:1
Aug 18, 2016 Super League
Qizilqum vs Obod Tashkent
4:1
Apr 9, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Qizilqum
2:2
Apr 28, 2015 Uzbekistan Cup
Obod Tashkent vs Qizilqum
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 40 / 100
Obod Tashkent 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Obod Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Difficult form: Obod Tashkent registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Qizilqum found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

Obod Tashkent

(Away)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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