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Qizilqum vs Sogdiana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum play Sogdiana in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qizilqum averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Sogdiana averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Qizilqum won 0, Sogdiana won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 13, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Qizilqum and 1.50 for Sogdiana. This points to a Sogdiana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Qizilqum
39%
Draws
30%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogdiana demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than Qizilqum (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 16%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Sogdiana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum
3:0
Jun 24, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qizilqum Compare

Top Goalscorer Shukurillaev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 31 / 100
Sogdiana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Sogdiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qizilqum scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Sogdiana let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Qizilqum went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sogdiana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Sogdiana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210