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Qizilqum vs Xorazm Urganch Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Rom M.
40'
Akhrorov A.
46'
Sub
Khusinov A. In: Otakhonov A.
Out: Khusinov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Qizilqum and Xorazm Urganch finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Qizilqum
15%
Draws
8%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qizilqum come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
  • Model gives Qizilqum a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
1:3
Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Xorazm Urganch
0:0
Aug 18, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Xorazm Urganch
0:3
Aug 5, 2010 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qizilqum's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Qizilqum stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Xorazm Urganch
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)